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The Fed, Yields, and Expected Returns

In December 2015, the Fed raised the federal funds target rate for the first time since 2006. Some market commentators believed this was a signal that multiple rate increases would occur in 2016. The Fed failed to prove the prognosticators right and did not change the target rate until its last meeting of the year on December 14, 2016. Despite this, interest rates in the US have varied throughout the year.

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